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Shareholders in Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL:7030) are in the red if they invested five years ago
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn’t blame long term Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL:7030) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 34% over a half decade. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 7.4% in the same period.
Now let’s have a look at the company’s fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
View our latest analysis for Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the five years over which the share price declined, Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia’s earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 29% each year. The share price decline of 8% per year isn’t as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around. With a P/E ratio of 51.37, it’s fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
This free interactive report on Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia’s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia’s TSR for the last 5 years was -9.0%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 3.9%. Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should “buy when there is blood on the streets”, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia (1 can’t be ignored) that you should be aware of.
